Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	17:40	Max, Max
Bulgaria	18:40	Max
Czech Republic	17:40	Max
Finland	18:40	Max
Hungary	17:40	Max
Netherlands	17:40	Max
Norway	17:40	MAX
Romania	18:40	Max
Sweden	17:40	Max


	Xinyu Gao		Arina Rodionova

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.95	1.36
	2.78	1.46
	2.75	1.4
	2.73	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.48)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinyu Gao
33.9%

Arina Rodionova
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Arina Rodionova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arina Rodionova than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Xinyu Gao - Arina Rodionova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gao is ranked WTA: 149. Rodionova is ranked WTA: 216.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rodionova is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Alina Korneeva	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Xinyu Gao - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL
- Arina Rodionova
WTA London
08.06.25	Arina Rodionova - Destanee Aiava	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Angela Fita Boluda - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Arina Rodionova - Tereza Valentova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.25	Arina Rodionova - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Arina Rodionova - Kristina Liutova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.10.23	Xinyu Gao - Arina Rodionova	1:2
02.08.23	Arina Rodionova - Xinyu Gao	2:1
21.07.23	Arina Rodionova - Xinyu Gao	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Renata Zarazua - Xinyu Gao	✺

Xinyu Gao - Arina Rodionova