Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Xinyu Gao		Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1
	1.71	2.17
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinyu Gao
54.6%

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinyu Gao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Xinyu Gao - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gao will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rakotomanga Rajaonah will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gao is ranked WTA: 191. Rakotomanga Rajaonah is ranked WTA: 128.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rakotomanga Rajaonah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Xinyu Gao - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.36%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.64%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Riya Bhatia - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Alina Charaeva	Charaeva A. walkover ✺
02.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Chloe Paquet	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 L?WWL
- Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Amandine Hesse	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Carol Young Suh Lee	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Valentina Ryser	2:1 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
14.09.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW

Xinyu Gao - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide