Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Blake Ellis		Jie Cui

	1	2
			Watch
	2.71	1.47
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.97)	1.48 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
37%

Jie Cui
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blake Ellis's form might have worsened.

Jie Cui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jie Cui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blake Ellis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jie Cui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blake Ellis - Jie Cui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 502. Cui is ranked ATP: 396.

Ellis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cui has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ellis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Blake Ellis - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Linang Xiao - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Jie Cui
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Evan Zhu - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Jie Cui - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Jie Cui - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.24	Blake Ellis - Jie Cui	1:2
04.11.23	Blake Ellis - Jie Cui	2:0

Blake Ellis - Jie Cui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide