Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Yan Bai		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.71
	1.42	2.76	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.32)	2.72 ↓ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yan Bai
65.8%

Rei Sakamoto
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yan Bai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yan Bai - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bai is ranked ATP: 249. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 801.

Recent matches Bai is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sakamoto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bai is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yan Bai
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Yan Bai - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Yan Bai - Kokoro Isomura	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Yan Bai - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.10.24	Yan Bai - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Yan Bai - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Rei Sakamoto - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Rei Sakamoto - Tadeas Paroulek	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

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