Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Yan Bai		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.4	1.28
	3.59	1.3
	3.59	1.31
	3.75	1.25
	3.65	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.97)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yan Bai
25.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yan Bai's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yan Bai - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bai will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bai: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mochizuki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mochizuki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mochizuki to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yan Bai
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Yan Bai	Ivanovski K. retired ✺
12.11.23	Yan Bai - Andrew Fenty	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Arthur Weber - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Yan Bai - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Yan Bai - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Giovanni Fonio - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Taro Daniel	Mochizuki S. retired ✺
31.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLW?W

Yan Bai - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide