Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Yan Bai		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
			Watch
	4.33	1.19
	4.3	1.18	Watch
	4.59	1.21
	4.44	1.21	Watch
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.41	1.19	Watch
	4.3	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (2.69)	1.19 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yan Bai
21.4%

Zachary Svajda
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yan Bai's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yan Bai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yan Bai - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bai is ranked ATP: 262. Svajda is ranked ATP: 131.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Svajda is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yan Bai
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Yan Bai	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Terence Atmane - Yan Bai	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Yan Bai - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Yan Bai	Bai Y. retired ✺
09.09.24	Yan Bai - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLW?W
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Zachary Svajda - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLW

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