Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PARMA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: PARMA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Yanaki Milev		Akira Santillan

	1	2
	3.2	1.28
	2.45	1.48
	3.29	1.32
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.16	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.47)	1.35 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanaki Milev
30.5%

Akira Santillan
69.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanaki Milev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanaki Milev's form might have worsened.

Akira Santillan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akira Santillan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanaki Milev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akira Santillan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Milev is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santillan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Milev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santillan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanaki Milev
ITF Tournaments
06.06.23	Yanaki Milev - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.05.23	Yanaki Milev - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.23	Deney Wassermann - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Yanaki Milev - Cengiz Aksu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Akira Santillan
ITF Tournaments
14.06.23	Hamish Stewart - Akira Santillan	Santillan A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.23	Akira Santillan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Akira Santillan - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
06.06.23	Marco Cecchinato - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Liam Gavrielides - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 ?LWWW

Yanaki Milev - Akira Santillan

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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