Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Yanaki Milev		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	2.29	1.55
	2.42	1.63
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.35	1.60
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.93)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanaki Milev
40.1%

Valerio Aboian
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanaki Milev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanaki Milev's form might have worsened.

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valerio Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Yanaki Milev - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Milev is ranked ATP: 866. Aboian is ranked ATP: 431.

Milev is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aboian has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aboian is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanaki Milev
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Yanaki Milev - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Yanaki Milev - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Ivan Gakhov - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Jose Dominguez Alonso - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWWLW
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Marko Topo - Valerio Aboian	Topo M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Karlo Kajin - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WW?LW

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