Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Poitiers, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Anton Matusevich

	1	2
	2.92	1.42
	4.10	1.18	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.22)	1.37 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
31.1%

Anton Matusevich
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanis Ghazouani Durand's form might have worsened.

Anton Matusevich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anton Matusevich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanis Ghazouani Durand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anton Matusevich than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anton Matusevich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Anton Matusevich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 698. Matusevich is ranked ATP: 628.

Ghazouani Durand is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Matusevich is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Matusevich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matusevich will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Matusevich will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ghazouani Durand won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Raphael Perot - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lucas Bouquet - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Matt Ponchet - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Anton Matusevich
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Lenny Couturier - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Mickael Kaouk - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Mika Petkovic - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Thijs Boogaard - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.09.23	Anton Matusevich - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Anton Matusevich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide