Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 37, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 37 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Daniil Sarksian

	1	2
	1.2	4.13
	1.15	4.52	Watch
	1.19	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	4.32 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
78.6%

Daniil Sarksian
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanis Ghazouani Durand's performance.

Daniil Sarksian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Sarksian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanis Ghazouani Durand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Sarksian than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Sarksian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Daniil Sarksian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 845. Sarksian is ranked ATP: 985.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ghazouani Durand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ghazouani Durand is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Simon Reveniau	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Harry Wendelken - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	James Story - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Toby Martin - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	Ghazouani Durand Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLW?
- Daniil Sarksian
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Daniil Sarksian - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Niklas Schell - Daniil Sarksian	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Daniil Sarksian - Kris van Wyk	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Daniil Sarksian - Ye Cong Mo	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Daniil Sarksian - Zhengyu Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Daniil Sarksian

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Daniil Sarksian Predictions

Preview

Form

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