Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Malta, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Vincent Marysko

	1	2
	1.43	2.56	Watch
	1.36	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	2.75 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
66.3%

Vincent Marysko
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanis Ghazouani Durand's form might have worsened.

Vincent Marysko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vincent Marysko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanis Ghazouani Durand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vincent Marysko than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vincent Marysko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Vincent Marysko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 761. Marysko is ranked ATP: 1000.

Ghazouani Durand has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marysko has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ghazouani Durand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ghazouani Durand is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Josip Simundza - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Branko Djuric - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Antoni Fabre	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Max Schoenhaus - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Pieter De Lange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Vincent Marysko
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Vincent Marysko - Nicolas Parizzia	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Vincent Marysko - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Amir Omarkhanov - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Vincent Marysko - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Vincent Marysko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide