Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
41.5%

Yaroslav Demin
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Livet Novkirichka is ranked ATP: 1145. Demin is ranked ATP: 685.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Demin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livet Novkirichka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Oliver Crawford	Canceled ✺
23.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Charles Bertimon - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Jannik Opitz	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?LWWL
- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Yaroslav Demin - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Christoph Negritu - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Alex Marti Pujolras	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL

Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide