Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oberhaching, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Yaroslav Demin		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	2.81	1.44
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.56	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.22)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
35.5%

Stefano Napolitano
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaroslav Demin's form might have worsened.

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Yaroslav Demin - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 701. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 436.

Demin has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Napolitano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Napolitano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Yannik Kelm - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Yaroslav Demin - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Yaroslav Demin - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Gavin Young - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW
- Stefano Napolitano
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Filippo Romano - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Pepijn Bastiaansen - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Charles Broom - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. retired ✺
19.01.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWL?W

Yaroslav Demin - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide