Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	4	1.22
	4	1.22
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	4.21	1.24
	4.09	1.24	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.94	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.97)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
24.2%

Bu Yunchaokete
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasutaka Uchiyama's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasutaka Uchiyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: Bu Yunchaokete will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 198. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 123.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Yunchaokete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yunchaokete is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Uchiyama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Washington
27.07.24	Zachary Svajda - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Liam Broady - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
30.07.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.04.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0

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