Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Jacob Fearnley		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2	1.7
	2.1	1.85
	2.01	1.76	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.99)	1.74 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
46.4%

Bu Yunchaokete
53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jacob Fearnley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Bu Yunchaokete have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 145. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 131.

Fearnley is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yunchaokete is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Yunchaokete will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fearnley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.64%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Keegan Smith - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Luca Nardi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Leandro Riedi	Bu Y. Walkover ✺
10.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1
11.06.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2

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