Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby (Canada), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Referee: Grzegorczyk J. (Pol)


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.4	1.62
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.84)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
41.8%

Sho Shimabukuro
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasutaka Uchiyama's form might have worsened.

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasutaka Uchiyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Uchiyama is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimabukuro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shimabukuro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Shimabukuro to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Uchiyama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
08.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	David Goffin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tim Van Rijthoven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
18.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
12.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2
14.11.22	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. retired
06.08.19	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide