Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Qian Daohu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Qian Daohu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ye Cong Mo		Chase Ferguson

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Ye Cong Mo
65.3%

Chase Ferguson
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ye Cong Mo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ye Cong Mo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Mo is ranked ATP: 656. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 864.

In recent matches, Mo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferguson is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ferguson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mo might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ye Cong Mo
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Cing-Yang Meng	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Xiaoyin Yang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Chase Ferguson - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Ryo Tabata - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Chase Ferguson - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Chase Ferguson - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Ye Cong Mo - Chase Ferguson