Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Yelyzaveta Kotliar		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.20	1.20
	4.2	1.19
	4.81	1.23
	3.94	1.24	Watch
	4.3	1.21
	4.15	1.19	Watch
	4.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (2.97)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelyzaveta Kotliar
22%

Mia Ristic
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelyzaveta Kotliar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yelyzaveta Kotliar's form might have worsened.

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mia Ristic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelyzaveta Kotliar than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelyzaveta Kotliar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mia Ristic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Mia Ristic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kotliar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ristic will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotliar is ranked WTA: 450. Ristic is ranked WTA: 224.

In recent matches, Kotliar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ristic is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ristic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ristic is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kotliar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelyzaveta Kotliar
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Dalila Spiteri	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Andreea Prisacariu - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Mina Hodzic	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	Kotliar Y. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWL?
- Mia Ristic
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Mia Ristic - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Mia Ristic - Viola Turini	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Gabriela Ce - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Tatiana Pieri - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Mia Ristic	0:2
21.08.25	Mia Ristic - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:0

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