Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Federica Urgesi		Yelyzaveta Kotliar

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.36	3.00
	1.40	2.70
	1.38	3.21
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.38	2.80
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	2.85 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
67.3%

Yelyzaveta Kotliar
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Yelyzaveta Kotliar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelyzaveta Kotliar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Federica Urgesi - Yelyzaveta Kotliar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Urgesi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 287. Kotliar is ranked WTA: 451.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Urgesi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Urgesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Francesca Jones - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Yelyzaveta Kotliar
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Amandine Hesse - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Oksana Selekhmeteva	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Liv Boulard - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Tayisiya Morderger - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Federica Urgesi	0:2

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