Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Mia Ristic		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.9	1.8
	2.07	1.85
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.96	1.83
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.57)	1.81 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mia Ristic
48.5%

Darja Semenistaja
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mia Ristic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mia Ristic's form might have worsened.

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Semenistaja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mia Ristic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darja Semenistaja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mia Ristic - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ristic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Semenistaja will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Ristic is ranked WTA: 261. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 109.

Ristic has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Semenistaja has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Semenistaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mia Ristic - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Mia Ristic - Viola Turini	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Gabriela Ce - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Tatiana Pieri - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Gaia Maduzzi - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Darja Semenistaja
WTA Hamburg
21.07.26	Darja Semenistaja - Sinja Kraus	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Julia Riera - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
29.06.26	Antonia Ruzic - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches