Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Yexin Ma		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
	2.1	1.65
	2.11	1.7
			Watch
	2.11	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.16)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yexin Ma
44.2%

Elvina Kalieva
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yexin Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yexin Ma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 259. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 298.

Ma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kalieva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yexin Ma
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Arianne Hartono - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Fiona Crawley - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Olivia Lincer - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Alina Shcherbinina - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Mei Yamaguchi - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Elvina Kalieva - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Anna Frey - Elvina Kalieva	Canceled ✺
04.06.25	Darja Vidmanova - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Elvina Kalieva - Anita Sahdiieva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.07.24	Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma	2:0

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