Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Segovia 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yi Zhou		Luka Pavlovic

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Yi Zhou
56.9%

Luka Pavlovic
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Zhou is ranked ATP: 232. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 278.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Pavlovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhou is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Yi Zhou - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.57%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Yi Zhou - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Yi Zhou - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Yi Zhou - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Yi Zhou - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel De Jonge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Yanki Erel - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Yi Zhou - Luka Pavlovic