Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Yi Zhou		Renta Tokuda

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.73	2.04	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)	2.17 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
56.8%

Renta Tokuda
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Renta Tokuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Yi Zhou - Renta Tokuda Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zhou will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tokuda will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhou (votes: 1 - 50%). Tokuda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 325. Tokuda is ranked ATP: 458.

Zhou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tokuda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhou might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Tokuda will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zhou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yi Zhou	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
07.08.25	Michael Zheng - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Yi Zhou - Joshua Sheehy	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Hady Habib - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWLL
- Renta Tokuda
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Kokoro Isomura - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Joshua Charlton - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Linghao Zhang - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Renta Tokuda - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Philip Sekulic - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Yi Zhou - Renta Tokuda	2:0

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