Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.42
	1.57	2.45
	1.52	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	2.42 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
61.3%

Yi Zhou
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Yoshihito Nishioka - Yi Zhou Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nishioka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishioka is ranked ATP: 154. Zhou is ranked ATP: 327.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Zhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nishioka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Yi Zhou - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jie Cui - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Yi Zhou - Aoran Wang	Zhou Y. walkover ✺
14.10.25	Yi Zhou - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yi Zhou	Nishioka Y. retired
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yi Zhou	Nishioka Y. retired

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