Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Yi Zhou		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.51
			Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.73)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
35.1%

Liam Draxl
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yi Zhou - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhou will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Draxl will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhou (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 321. Draxl is ranked ATP: 147.

Zhou has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Draxl is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Draxl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Draxl could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Draxl will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Andres Andrade - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Yi Zhou - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Yi Zhou - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Alex Martinez - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Kenta Miyoshi - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Yibing Wu - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

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