Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Yibing Wu		Darwin Blanch

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.69
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)	2.43 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
61.4%

Darwin Blanch
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yibing Wu's form might have worsened.

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darwin Blanch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Yibing Wu - Darwin Blanch Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Blanch will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 115. Blanch is ranked ATP: 254.

In recent matches, Wu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blanch is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wu is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Yibing Wu - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Yibing Wu - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Yibing Wu - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Alex Bolt - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Darwin Blanch - Federico Agustin Gomez	Gomez F. A. Retired ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Darwin Blanch - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WW?LW

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