Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Gabriel Diallo		Yibing Wu

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	2.08	1.82
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.08	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
47.2%

Yibing Wu
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yibing Wu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gabriel Diallo - Yibing Wu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 37. Wu is ranked ATP: 118.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Adam Walton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWL?
- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Yibing Wu - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.26	Yibing Wu - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Yibing Wu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Casper Ruud - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Gabriel Diallo - Yibing Wu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide