Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Yibing Wu		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.61	2.43
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	2.29 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
59.2%

Kei Nishikori
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yibing Wu - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nishikori will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nishikori (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 115. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 491.

Wu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nishikori has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nishikori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Yibing Wu - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Alex Bolt - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Yibing Wu - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.26	Yibing Wu - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Clement Tabur - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Clement Tabur - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Kei Nishikori - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches