Match Info

Date: 19 May 2022, Thursday


	Yibing Wu		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.41
	1.61	2.34
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.44)	2.36 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
60.4%

Mathias Bourgue
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Yibing Wu - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: Yibing Wu will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bourgue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
16.05.22	Yibing Wu - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
12.05.22	Yibing Wu - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
11.05.22	Yibing Wu - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
10.05.22	Jordan Thompson - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWW
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
17.05.22	Davide Galoppini - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Mathias Bourgue - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
08.05.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
03.05.22	Mathias Bourgue - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
02.05.22	Arthur Gea - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

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