Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Yibing Wu		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	1.98	1.9
	1.91	1.93	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	2.03	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
47.9%

Nicolas Jarry
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Yibing Wu - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wu: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 564. Jarry is ranked ATP: 28.

Wu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jarry is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Yibing Wu - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Yibing Wu - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	Wu Y. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Yibing Wu - Yu Hsiou Hsu	Wu Y. retired ✺
02.09.24	Yibing Wu - Yuki Mochizuki	Canceled ✺
26.08.24	Norbert Gombos - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W???L
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Nicolas Jarry - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Christopher OConnell - Nicolas Jarry	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

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