Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.86	1.88
	1.93	1.97
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.21)	1.9 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
50.3%

Adrian Mannarino
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yoshihito Nishioka's performance.

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yoshihito Nishioka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.2%	0%	67.8%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 19 - 32.2%). Mannarino will win (votes: 40 - 67.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 55.9% – 79.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nishioka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mannarino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:1 ✺
ATP Cologne 2
23.10.20	Yoshihito Nishioka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
22.10.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
19.10.20	Yoshihito Nishioka - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Hugo Gaston - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Adrian Mannarino - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
02.11.20	Adrian Mannarino - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled
ATP Astana
01.11.20	Adrian Mannarino - John Millman	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Emil Ruusuvuori - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
30.10.20	Adrian Mannarino - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W?LWW

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