Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.75	1.98
	1.8	2.05
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.76	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)	2.04 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
53.9%

Juncheng Shang
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Shang will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 35.2% – 84.8%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Shang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Acapulco
28.02.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Nuno Borges - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Alexander Zverev - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.24	Radu Albot - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Juncheng Shang - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Shang J. retired ✺
18.01.24	Sumit Nagal - Juncheng Shang	1:3 ✺
16.01.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Juncheng Shang	2:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2

Yoshihito Nishioka - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide