Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.46
	1.52	2.58
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
	1.48	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	2.49 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
62.4%

Ilia Simakin
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Simakin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 213. Simakin is ranked ATP: 271.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Watanuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Watanuki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Li Tu - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	James McCabe - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Ye Cong Mo - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Viktor Durasovic - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW

Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide