Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.55	1.45
	2.59	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.43
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.05)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
35.9%

Marin Cilic
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yosuke Watanuki's form might have worsened.

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marin Cilic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Yosuke Watanuki - Marin Cilic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 406., and Cilic is ranked ATP: 80..

In recent outings, Watanuki has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Watanuki may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cilic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Kaito Uesugi - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Semen Pankin - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Adam Walton - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Arthur Fery - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WL?LL

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