Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Marin Cilic		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.50	1.30
	3.40	1.30
	3.65	1.29
	3.65	1.33
	3.23	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.29
	3.63	1.35	Watch
	3.35	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.11)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
27.5%

Andrey Rublev
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 85. Rublev is ranked ATP: 18.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 2.

In recent matches, Rublev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rublev is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 69.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Marin Cilic - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
24.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
01.06.22	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	2:3
ATP Australian Open
22.01.22	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	1:3
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP Miami
30.03.21	Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev	0:2
Exhibition Adria Tour Men
20.06.20	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP Moscow
19.10.19	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	2:0
ATP Miami
23.03.19	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	2:0

Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide