Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TURIN 2 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	3.17
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.43	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)	2.93 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
68%

Salvatore Caruso
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salvatore Caruso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Yosuke Watanuki - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Caruso will win (votes: 17 - 81%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caruso: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Watanuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Watanuki is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Borna Gojo - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Thiago Monteiro	Monteiro T. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Corentin Moutet - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 L?LWW
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Salvatore Caruso - Federico Maccari	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Salvatore Caruso - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Salvatore Caruso - Enrico Dalla Valle	Canceled ✺
02.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Salvatore Caruso - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WL?LL

Yosuke Watanuki - Salvatore Caruso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide