Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Pavel Kotov		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.84	1.98
	1.87	2
	1.83	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.84	1.96	Watch
	1.84	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
52%

Yosuke Watanuki
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Watanuki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watanuki: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 63. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 337.

Kotov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Watanuki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Pavel Kotov - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Sumit Nagal - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?LWWW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.24	Marco Trungelliti - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Yu Hsiou Hsu	Watanuki Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2

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