Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 14, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Younes Lalami Laaroussi		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	2.27	1.6
	2.19	1.59	Watch
	2.1	1.67
			Watch
	2.45	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)	1.6 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Younes Lalami Laaroussi
42.2%

Andrey Chepelev
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Younes Lalami Laaroussi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Younes Lalami Laaroussi's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Younes Lalami Laaroussi than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Younes Lalami Laaroussi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lalami Laaroussi is ranked ATP: 1028. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 633.

Now, both players are in good form.

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chepelev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Chepelev will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Younes Lalami Laaroussi
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Branko Djuric - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Simeon Stankovic	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Filiberto Fumagalli - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Egor Pleshivtsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ali Yazdani	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Bosio	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Astro Pilipovic	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Aleksa Pisaric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

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