Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Yu Hsiou Hsu		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2.30	1.55
	2.25	1.57
	2.39	1.63
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.59
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yu Hsiou Hsu
40.7%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yu Hsiou Hsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yu Hsiou Hsu than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yu Hsiou Hsu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Dylan Hara Friend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Yu Hsiou Hsu - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hsu will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hsu: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hsu is ranked ATP: 210. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 383.

Recent form of Hsu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hara Friend has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hara Friend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yu Hsiou Hsu
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
06.06.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Keegan Rice - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Cole Thurgur	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Eloi Roux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWW

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