Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Yuta Shimizu		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.20	1.64	Watch
	2.29	1.68
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.20	1.66	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
41.9%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Yuta Shimizu - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 356. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 407.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hara Friend will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Ryan Colby - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Andre Ilagan - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Keegan Rice - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Cole Thurgur	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Eloi Roux	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL

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