Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Yuki Naito		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.60	1.44
	2.54	1.53
	2.5	1.51
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuki Naito
37.2%

Lucrezia Stefanini
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuki Naito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuki Naito's performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucrezia Stefanini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuki Naito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucrezia Stefanini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yuki Naito - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Naito is ranked WTA: 290. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 163.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Naito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stefanini is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Aishi Das - Yuki Naito	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Mio Mushika - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Thasaporn Naklo - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ayano Shimizu - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Yuki Naito - Valentina Ryser	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Luisina Giovannini - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Yeon Woo Ku - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Darja Vidmanova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLW

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