Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Yulia Putintseva		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	3.95	1.26
	3.96	1.29
	3.86	1.26	Watch
	4	1.25
	4.06	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.11)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yulia Putintseva
23.9%

Marta Kostyuk
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yulia Putintseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yulia Putintseva's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yulia Putintseva than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yulia Putintseva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Yulia Putintseva - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: Marta Kostyuk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Putintseva is ranked WTA: 80. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 23.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Putintseva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kostyuk is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Putintseva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Marta Kostyuk - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.57%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yulia Putintseva
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Yulia Putintseva - Tereza Valentova	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Yulia Putintseva - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Yulia Putintseva - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Yulia Putintseva - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Rouen
19.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Veronika Podrez	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
07.01.26	Marta Kostyuk - Yulia Putintseva	2:1
WTA Olympic Games
27.07.24	Yulia Putintseva - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled

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