Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Yusuke Takahashi		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.86
	1.77	1.85	Watch
	1.88	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.59)	1.84 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yusuke Takahashi
49.9%

Kaichi Uchida
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yusuke Takahashi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yusuke Takahashi's form might have worsened.

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaichi Uchida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yusuke Takahashi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Yusuke Takahashi - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Takahashi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Uchida will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kaichi Uchida will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Takahashi is ranked ATP: 423. Uchida is ranked ATP: 579.

Takahashi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchida is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Takahashi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Takahashi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yusuke Takahashi
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Jonathan Mridha	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Renta Tokuda - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
13.08.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Maan Kesharwani - Yusuke Takahashi	Kesharwani M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLW?
- Kaichi Uchida
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Kousuke Ogura - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Taisei Ichikawa - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.10.21	Kaichi Uchida - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0
ATP Challenger
11.09.19	Kaichi Uchida - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1

Yusuke Takahashi - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide