Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.75
	1.50	2.49	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)	2.68 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
65.1%

Kaichi Uchida
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uchida will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225. Uchida is ranked ATP: 579.

Recent performances by Uchiyama have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uchida is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uchida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uchiyama is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uchiyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Yuta Kikuchi	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Michael Zheng - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Takeru Yuzuki	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Qian Sun	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2
06.11.22	Kaichi Uchida - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0
15.11.21	Kaichi Uchida - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. retired

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide