Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Yanagawa City, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Yuta Kawahashi		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
	1.43	2.56	Watch
	1.79	1.91	Watch
	1.76	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Kawahashi
56.2%

Keisuke Saitoh
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Kawahashi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuta Kawahashi's performance.

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keisuke Saitoh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kawahashi than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Yuta Kawahashi - Keisuke Saitoh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kawahashi is ranked ATP: 747. Saitoh is ranked ATP: 856.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Saitoh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Keisuke Saitoh - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Kawahashi
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Seiya Nakanishi	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Fumin Jiang	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Ziga Sesko - Yuta Kawahashi	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Joao Graca - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Shu Muto - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Geun Jun Kim - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL

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