Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Yuta Kikuchi		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	1.78	1.97
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.78	1.92	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Kikuchi
53.2%

Chase Ferguson
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Kikuchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kikuchi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

Kikuchi is ranked ATP: 798. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 979.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kikuchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Chase Ferguson - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Kikuchi
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Yuta Kikuchi - Boxiong Zhang	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Woobin Shin - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Yuta Kikuchi - Hoyoung Roh	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Yuta Kikuchi - Dongmin Kim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Jaden Dewandaka Tan	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Daisuke Sumizawa	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Dingzheng Nima	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Yuta Kikuchi - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide