Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tyler (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Referee: Brace J. (Usa)


	Yuta Shimizu		Aidan Mayo

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.46	2.8
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.39	2.89	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	2.73 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
65.6%

Aidan Mayo
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Yuta Shimizu - Aidan Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: Yuta Shimizu will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mayo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shimizu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
02.06.24	Mitchell Krueger - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	Yuta Shimizu - Rudy Quan	2:0 ✺
30.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Yuta Shimizu	Tomic B. retired ✺
28.05.24	Yuta Shimizu - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWW?W
- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
29.05.24	Aidan Mayo - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
27.05.24	Aidan Mayo - Nick Chappell	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Aidan Mayo - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
15.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWL?L

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Mees Rottgering - Aidan Mayo	✺

Yuta Shimizu - Aidan Mayo