Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Yuta Shimizu		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.77	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
51.1%

Andre Ilagan
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Yuta Shimizu aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Andre Ilagan aligns with the current prediction.

Yuta Shimizu - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 387. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 354.

Shimizu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ilagan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Max Basing	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Ronit Karki	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWW??
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	James McCabe - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Rigele Te - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Weiwen Pan - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Jie Cui - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Filip Peliwo - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.07.22	Andre Ilagan - Yuta Shimizu	1:2

Yuta Shimizu - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide