Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday


	Yuta Shimizu		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.65
	1.47	2.69
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.66	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)	2.66 ↓ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
64.9%

Yi Zhou
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Yuta Shimizu - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Zhou will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhou: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 262. Zhou is ranked ATP: 506.

Recent matches Shimizu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhou in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shimizu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
19.08.24	Yuta Shimizu - Yuquan Jin	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Yuta Shimizu - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
29.07.24	Yuta Shimizu - Micah Braswell	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Yuta Shimizu - Enzo Wallart	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Joao Fonseca - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
19.08.24	Alafia Ayeni - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Aliaksandr Liaonenka - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Yi Zhou - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Yi Zhou - Sheng Tang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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