Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Nishesh Basavareddy		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.02	1.85
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.73)	1.78 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nishesh Basavareddy
47.6%

Zachary Svajda
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nishesh Basavareddy's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Basavareddy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Svajda will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svajda: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zachary Svajda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 110. Svajda is ranked ATP: 148.

In recent matches, Basavareddy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Svajda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Basavareddy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Svajda will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Basavareddy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Adam Walton - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	2:0
15.10.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	0:2
06.10.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	0:2

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